Adviser to the Finance Minister, Khurram Shehzad, shared that Pakistan has become one of the world’s top performers in reducing sovereign default risk. Bloomberg data shows that over the last 15 months, Pakistan’s default probability dropped by 2,200 basis points, ranking second globally among emerging markets, just behind Turkey.
Pakistan Default Risk Bloomberg
Bloomberg reports that Pakistan is among the few countries where default risks have significantly declined. Over the past 15 months (June 2024–September 2025), Pakistan’s default risk improved by 2,200 points, ranking 2nd among emerging economies—just behind Turkey. This reflects growing investor confidence and signs of economic stability.
2nd Best Improvement Among Emerging Economies
Pakistan is the only emerging market showing consistent quarterly improvement during this period, outperforming countries like South Africa and El Salvador. In contrast, nations such as Argentina, Egypt, and Nigeria have seen rising default risks.
Pakistan Records Sharpest Drop in Default Risk
Pakistan Sees Sharp Drop in Default Risk: 2nd Best Improvement Among Emerging Economies with Consistent Quarterly Gains, Default Probability Falls by 2,200 Basis Points, Outperforming Other Emerging Markets, Strengthening Investor Confidence through Economic Reforms and IMF Program.
Bloomberg Highlights Pakistan’s Economic Improvement
Mr. Shehzad said this decline reflects stronger investor confidence, supported by macroeconomic stabilization, structural reforms, timely debt repayments, adherence to the IMF program, and positive ratings from S&P, Fitch, and Moody’s. This is one of the sharpest improvements recorded globally in recent years.
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